![]() ![]() The link between ‘arms’ and ‘armed conflict’ must be recognized to ensure conflict prevention strategies are grounded in an understanding of the root causes of a conflict. Thus, integrating arms control into UN conflict prevention efforts is underexplored and underutilized. This means that conflict analysis and prevention efforts can miss the red flags and warnings that could help the UN to act before the outbreak of armed conflict. Yet despite their critical role in sparking, facilitating, and sustaining armed conflict, arms-related risks and impacts appear to be the least well understood elements in existing UN conflict analysis tools. The foundation for preventing or managing conflict begins with an analysis of the current context, often taking the form of a conflict analysis to identify the direct and indirect causes of instability. Former UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan highlighted that measures to prevent the misuse and illicit transfer of conventional arms and ammunition, and to address the root causes of their demand, would greatly contribute to armed conflict prevention. Without arms and ammunition there can be no armed conflict. ![]() armed actors and their levels of cohesion.types of conventional arms and ammunition available.What to do about the arms in armed conflict?Īrms-related risks to inform conflict prevention: Conflict prevention is not only fundamental to the UN’s mandate to maintain international peace and security, but it is cost-effective and life-saving. Furthermore, eight out of every ten dollars of humanitarian funding is accounted for by armed conflicts. Almost half of all conflicts that we thought had been peacefully resolved within the last 30 years recurred, with nearly 20% recurring three or more times. The number of violent conflicts worldwide has tripled since 2001. Preventing armed conflict: exploring the role of arms-related risks ![]()
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